Us Recession 2024 Probability Calculator. 26 rows us recession probability is at 61.79%, compared to 56.29% last month and 60.83% last year. Recession to 20% from 25%, shortly after raising it from 15%.
26 rows us recession probability is at 61.79%, compared to 56.29% last month and 60.83% last year. However, the new york fed’s recession probability model suggests there is still a 61.8% chance of a u.s.